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Modelling Complex Warfighting (MCW) Research Agenda

The Defence problem space has expanded considerably in recent years, with the operating environment now ranging from cooperation through to conflict, often with blurred boundaries in between. Additionally, the physical domains of air, land and sea have been expanded to include information and cyber and space. Defence seeks new sources of adversarial advantage to prevail in this contested environment. New operations analysis approaches are required to provide meaningful evidence-based decision-support associated with this problem space.

Synthetic Human-in-the-loop Operations Research Environment

DST's Synthetic Human-in-the-loop Operations Research Environment (SHORE) operates as both an exploratory and validation tool within an overarching operations analysis process that includes constructive simulations.

A Simple Handbook for Non-Traditional Red Teaming

This report represents a guide for those wishing to apply red teaming methods in a structured manner, and provides lessons developed in both the military and national security environments.

Visualising Uncertainty for Decision Support

This report presents an overview of the theoretical concepts and definitions of uncertainty, and the uncertainty visualisation techniques that have been investigated to date, and how this work can be applied to support situation awareness and decision making in the Australian Defence Force’s Joint Operations Command.

Horizon Scan of Emerging Technologies and Trends for ADF Combat Service Support 2016

This report provides such a horizon scan for Combat Service Support (CSS). Global trends and the results of science and technology literature scans across seven domains (power and energy, transportation, robotic and autonomous systems, materials and manufacturing, sensors, information and communication technology, and health technologies) are presented.

A Systems Thinking Approach to Engineering Challenges of Military Systems-of-Systems

System(s)-of-Systems (SoS) is broadly acknowledged as an engineering challenge for defence organisations, due to high complexity of various military SoS and their development processes. This report introduces a systems thinking-based approach, SoS thinking, which offers a language and a thoughtful process to conceptualise, understand, communicate about and assess military SoS.

The Application of Work Domain Analysis to Defining Australia’s Air Combat Capability

This report presents a comprehensive work domain analysis—or structural description—of Australia’s Air Combat Capability, defined across multiple levels of abstraction and decomposition, and independent of specific platforms.

Land wargaming

Denis Shine discusses how DST uses wargaming and simulation to assist the Australian Army to make effective decisions.

Logic Assumptions and Risks Framework Applied to Defence Campaign Planning and Evaluation

This paper describes the Logic, Assumptions and Risks Framework (LARF) developed by DSTO to establish a mechanism to improve the analysis, transparency and decision paths that underpin planning and evaluation.

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